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Mulligan’s Fantasy Forecast, Week 15

December 14, 2011
By KYLE MULLIGAN , Fort Myers Beach Bulletin, Fort Myers Beach Observer

There's a ton of hype surrounding what Tim Tebow has done for the Denver Broncos since he's been inserted as the starting quarterback but his real-life success doesn't necessarily translate to the fantasy game. Or does it? Look, he's not going to be an elite fantasy quarterback along the likes of Rodgers, Brees and Brady because of his limited passing ability but his running game can make up for a lot of that lost fantasy value. Something to think about; If you throw out the couple of snaps he played in a relief role in Week 4 against the Packers, Tebow is averaging 17.93 fantasy points per game which ranks him 10th among quarterbacks, which is more than name QBs like Philip Rivers and Ben Roethlisberger.

GOOD MATCH UPS

Beanie Wells vs. Browns defense: One of my not so good matchups last week, Beanie lands on the good match up list this week with the Cardinals hosting the Browns at home on Sunday. The Browns are giving up 151 rushing yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry this season and were just thrashed by Ray Rice two weeks ago for over 200 yards. Start Beanie this week and don't think twice about it.

Santana Moss vs. Giants defense: It's true that Eli Manning has had a flair for the dramatic this season but part of that is because the Giants defense just can't stop anybody, leaving Eli to clean up their mess. The Giants are 29th in the NFL, giving up 264 passing yards per game this season so I wouldn't bet on them being able to shut down Santana Moss this week in what could be another high-scoring affair involving the G-Men.

NOT SO GOOD MATCH UPS

Rashard Mendenhall vs. 49ers defense: The logic for keeping Mendenhall on your bench this week is pretty simple. The 49ers own the best-run defense in the NFL, allowing just 3.2 yards per carry and 70.5 rushing yards per game. Mendenhall has managed over 76 rushing yards per game just once this season (Week 6 against Jacksonville). Odds are he's not going to have a very good game this week.

Steve Smith vs. Texans defense: Smith posted his sixth 100-yard receiving effort of the season last week against Atlanta as he netted six catches for 125 yards. He won't have it so easy this week, however, as the Panthers visit the Houston Texans this week. The Texans are allowing just 183.5 passing yards per game this season so if you have depth at wide receiver, sitting Smith for this week may be a wise move.

WAIVER WIRE WATCH

Felix Jones, RB, Cowboys: When Felix Jones got injured and DeMarco Murray emerged as the everyday running back in Dallas, many of Felix's fantasy owners decided to cut him. Now, with Murray done for the regular season, Felix is once again the starting running back in Dallas and should get plenty of opportunities in the coming weeks. He gets a very good match up this week against a sub-par Buccaneers run defense.

Kyle Mulligan is a contributing sports writer for the Observer. He welcomes your feedback and can be reached at kjmulli@gmail.com.

 
 

 

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